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Lake Wales
Tuesday, September 30, 2025

NHC Updates Tropical Weather Outlook

Date:

While Hurricane Erin does not appear to be a threat to our area, there are additional areas to monitor in the Atlantic. The following represents the NWS National Hurricane Center Tropical Weather Outlook, issued at 2:00 pm, Sun., Aug. 17, 2025:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Erin, north of the Lesser Antilles.

  1. Northwestern Atlantic:
    Recent satellite-derived winds indicate an elongated area of low pressure located a couple hundred miles off the coast of North Carolina with associated surface winds of less than 20 mph. Shower activity remains limited, and development, if any, of this system
    should be slow to occur during the next day or so, while it drifts generally eastward. The opportunity for development should end on Monday, when environmental upper-level winds are expected to become unfavorable.
  • Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
  • Formation chance through 7 days…low…10 percent.
  1. Central Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave located near the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the middle to latter portion of the week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
  • Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
  • Formation chance through 7 days…low…30 percent.
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Maria Iannucci

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