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Lake Wales
Monday, February 16, 2026

Tropical Weather Update Calls for Increased Development, Rain Chances

Date:

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

  1. Near the Southeastern U.S.:
    An area of low pressure is forecast to develop along a weakening
    frontal boundary near Florida or the Atlantic coast of the
    southeastern United States by Saturday. Environmental
    conditions appear only marginally conducive for some slow
    development, but a tropical or subtropical depression could form in
    this region over the weekend or early next week while the system
    drifts northward or northeastward. Regardless of development, heavy
    rainfall is possible across portions of the southeast U.S.,
    particularly across the west-central Florida coast.
  • Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent.
  • Formation chance through 7 days…medium…60 percent.
author avatar
Maria Iannucci

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